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by Marcus Noland
Download Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas fb2
Politics & Government
  • Author:
    Marcus Noland
  • ISBN:
    0881322784
  • ISBN13:
    978-0881322781
  • Genre:
  • Publisher:
    Peterson Institute for International Economics (June 1, 2000)
  • Pages:
    431 pages
  • Subcategory:
    Politics & Government
  • Language:
  • FB2 format
    1613 kb
  • ePUB format
    1531 kb
  • DJVU format
    1542 kb
  • Rating:
    4.9
  • Votes:
    823
  • Formats:
    rtf azw mobi lrf


For those who try to understand the conundrum that is Korea, this book is a stiff cold wind, and entirely welcome. Indeed it is a daunting read, full of econometric and logical analyses, but Avoiding the Apocalypse : The Future of the Two Koreas repays careful reading many times over. Aside from the rigorous analysis, however, are the three concluding chapters. The author discusses three alternative paths for North Korea's future, and reaches a conclusion

Washington: Institute for International Economics, 2000. Nevertheless, one cannot

Avoiding the apocalypse: The future of the two koreas. Washington: Institute for International Economics, 2000. Nevertheless, one cannot. 1 2 2 Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas Vol. 6, No. 1. help but admire the effort invested in rigorous specula-. tion (the title of one of the published studies).

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Avoiding the Apocalypse is unique in its breadth & rigor & essential reading for anyone interested in the future of. .Noland's exhaustive study of the two Koreas & the impact of unification.

Avoiding the Apocalypse is unique in its breadth & rigor & essential reading for anyone interested in the future of Korea. -Joe Stiglitz, Former Senior Vice President of Development Economics & Chief Economist of the World Bank. offers a 'tour d'horizon,' serving up the history & political economy of both sides of the DMZ, as well as extensive analysis of unification's likely effects. Marcus Noland has managed to integrate the.

Avoiding the Apocalypse book. Goodreads helps you keep track of books you want to read. Start by marking Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas as Want to Read: Want to Read saving. Start by marking Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas as Want to Read: Want to Read savin. ant to Read.

Marcus Noland, executive vice president and director of studies, has been associated with the Institute since 1985. From 2009 through 2012, he served as the Institute's deputy director

Marcus Noland, executive vice president and director of studies, has been associated with the Institute since 1985. From 2009 through 2012, he served as the Institute's deputy director. His areas of geographical knowledge and interest include Asia and Africa where he has lived and worked, and the Middle East.

Book Overview This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas i.

On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden-and possibly tarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs.

Peterson Institute for International Economics). This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis

Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas.

Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas" – электронная кніга аўтараў Marcus Noland. Чытайце гэту кнігу з дапамогай праграмы Кнігі Google Play на ПК, прыладах з Android, iOS. Спампуйце для чытання па-за сеткай, вылучайце тэкст, рабіце закладкі або рабіце нататкі падчас чытання Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas.

On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden―and possibly nuclear-armed―totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation.

Wiliniett
For those who try to understand the conundrum that is Korea, this book is a stiff cold wind, and entirely welcome. Indeed it is a daunting read, full of econometric and logical analyses, but Avoiding the Apocalypse : The Future of the Two Koreas repays careful reading many times over.
Aside from the rigorous analysis, however, are the three concluding chapters. The author discusses three alternative paths for North Korea's future, and reaches a conclusion. Not only is the author open-minded, but the prospect for each scenario opens up possible policy implications for all countries involved.
This book also provides useful information on South Korea, even though it is billed as a book on North Korea. In many ways, the author's reflections on Korean history and South Korean development are more useful than the North Korean sections. Before North Korea can be dispassionately analyzed, South Korean success must be analyzed.
I put down this book and reached the conclusion, that the world just may have to live with a North Korea, de-villified, but certainly dangerous, for a long time. South Korea also faces more difficulties than it realizes, and should look at North Korea as an example in negative.
Still, with all the analysis and history, the mystery that is Korea is still there in the shadows. This book does admirably well with figures and facts, but so much is misunderstood. This book does as best as any could with this emotional subject, and, hopefully, will be the basis for thought, not rhetoric.
Whiteseeker
This book is a delight - the author combines serious economic and political analysis with rich knowledge of institutions and history on the Korean peninsula. Moreover, he knows how to write. He makes sophisticated arguments seem easy. For readers concerned with the future of South and North Korea, this is essential reading.
The book consists of a thorough overview of the current situation on the peninsula with a brief but insightful review of the historical processes that have brought us to this point. It distills in a accessible manner the vital insights from the author's formal models of the Korean economy. Most importantly, it weaves all of these different viewpoints into a coherent and persuasive story.
Opithris
Winston Churchill described the Soviet Union as "a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma," but then again, unlike Marcus Noland, Churchill never visited North Korea.
South Korea has risen from the ashes of the war to become a modern country. North Korea faces a famine. (My church and many others are involved in famine relief there.) If the North Koreans opened up their system they could catch up with South Korea -- afterall, they are all Koreans. As it is, they rely on selling missiles to countries like Pakistan, worsening the Pakistani confrontation with India, and creating headaches for the US and other countries.
This book examines this geopolitical hot spot. It analyzes the missile and nuclear issue, the famine, and the financial crisis in South Korea. It then considers three scenarios for the future of the Korean peninsula. The economics can get a bit heavy going, but it is not difficult to follow the thread of the argument. This book is particularly good on the issue of how developments in the North could affect political and economic developments in the South. It would behoove President Bush and his advisors to read this book.
fire dancer
During the Cold War, US policymakers focused on security. In the globalized world, the challenge is to integrate economics into the analytical framework. Dr. Marcus Noland has done this with his book "Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas." He demonstrates how economics and domestic political concerns have combined to create the odd situation in which the US is building two nuclear reactors for a country with which it fought a war and does not maintain diplomatic relations. Most importantly, he suggests constructive alternatives to this most strange state of affairs. The US and its allies, including South Korea, Japan, and the EU, should consider carefully Noland's proposal for revisiting the Agreed Framework.
Galanjov
The central issues of this book are not only of importance to the Koreans themselves but to the United States, Russia, China and Japan. One of its great strengths is to place the Korean experience not only in the context of Asia, but importantly, in the context of the experience of Eastern European countries.
The case of North Korea might be considered the pupil exceeding the teacher: North Korea took central planning and political repression to extremes never achieved in the Soviet Union.
Now it has a large industrial sector and missiles, but it cannot feed itself. The experiences of Russia, Belarus, Romania (not just China)are quite important to understanding the future of North Korea. The book uses good analytical models to understand the situation and does a very good job of exploiting the knowledge of Russian and other Eastern Bloc scholars' insight into North Korea.
SARAND
All of us have a few books that we keep near our desks as basic reference. This is just that kind of book. It is a comprehensive overview of political, economic, and security developments on the peninsula today. It is carefully argued and copiously researched. Excellent index.
Vinainl
We must understand economics to understand the situation in South and North Korea today. Dr. Noland analyses the situation in both South and North Korea and makes recommendations for a peaceful future. It is an important book for everyone interested in South and North Korea.