# Download The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy fb2

**Sharon Bertsch McGrayne**

- Author:Sharon Bertsch McGrayne
- ISBN:0300188226
- ISBN13:978-0300188226
- Genre:
- Publisher:Yale University Press; 37310th edition (September 25, 2012)
- Pages:360 pages
- Subcategory:Mathematics
- Language:
- FB2 format1703 kb
- ePUB format1109 kb
- DJVU format1320 kb
- Rating:4.2
- Votes:929
- Formats:mbr lrf doc lrf

A book simply highlighting the astonishing 200 year controversy over Bayesian .

A book simply highlighting the astonishing 200 year controversy over Bayesian analysis would have been highly welcome. One I think anyone reading this book knows Bayes Rule and two I think the actual math would get in the way of the story. If you are generally familiar with the concept of Bayes' rule and the fundamental technical debate with frequentist theory, then I can wholeheartedly recommend the book because it will deepen your understanding of the history.

emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy

The theory that would not die : how Bayes' rule cracked the enigma code, hunted down Russian submarines, & emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA de-coding to Homeland Security. Enlightenment and the anti-Bayesian reaction. Causes in the air ; The man who did everything ; Many doubts, few defenders - Second World War era.

Start by marking The Theory That Would Not Die . Anyway, the annoyance of this book is the author pontificates on how great Bayes' Rule is without ever, you know, actually giving us a mathematical example.

Start by marking The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy as Want to Read: Want to Read savin. ant to Read. The chapters basically read like this.

McGrayne, Sharon Bertsch (2011). This is the most rudimentary version of Bayes’ Rule, showing how we can reverse. the direction of the inference. The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes’. Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines & Emerged Tri-. umphant from Two Centuries of Controversy.

Sharon Bertsch Mcgrayne. eISBN: 978-0-300-17509-7. Subjects: History of Science & Technology, Mathematics.

Mobile version (beta). McGrayne, Sharon Bertsch. Download (pdf, . 4 Mb) Donate Read. Epub FB2 mobi txt RTF. Converted file can differ from the original. If possible, download the file in its original format.

Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new .

Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok.

She has an interesting story to tell about the last 250 years of Bayesian thinking, how the theory has developed, and its many applications including how to price insurance, how to aim artillery, how to break the Enigma code, who wrote The Federalist Papers, how to find Russian nuclear subs, how to estimate the probability of a shuttle disaster, when to do various.

The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes’ Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy by Sharon Bertsch McGrayne.

Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok.

In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years—at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information (Alan Turing's role in breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II), and explains how the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA de-coding to Homeland Security.

Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, *The Theory That Would Not Die* is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies of all time.